The modern geopolitical situation in the world can not leave anyone indifferent. Those international relations that were formed in the country on the continent and the world as a whole directly affect the life of everyone to a certain extent. That is why the interest of man to the coming, however,, as always, is particularly significant. Our attention is attracted by events unfolding in Ukraine.

When will the world in Ukraine?

The current state of affairs is the resulting consequences of a number of decisions taken and conclude. It began still from the crisis 2014 or even - 2013, with the beginning of mass protest actions in Kiev. Next is the change of power and as a result - war. The ruthless conflict in the east of the country has already believed not one thousand human lives. And the geopolitical situation around the war ran up to the limit. Thus, some political scientists and quite prominent politicians believe that if the armed conflict does not stop, then because of it, the third world war may begin.

It is this situation that makes many turn to stars, cards, horoscopes and other things, in order to find out: What will happen to the Donbas and the world as a whole? The fate of many millions of people depends on this.

Predictions about the future of Ukraine are quite highly collapsed: from pessimistic, to quite positive, giving hope for the moment world.

For example, the Ukrainian astrologer from Odessa Vlad Ross, sees the future of its country in a rather positive, optimistic key. He claims that:

1. Donetsk and Lugansk will return to the country in the near future, this condition will contribute to the establishment of peace in the region and the Republic as a whole. According to him, this should happen already in 2020.
2. When the world will be in Ukraine, the country will begin rapidly develop and build a new, democratic society. The current crisis current will stop.
3. There is in his forecasts and a note of pessimism. So, the stars promise Ukraine a change in power due to extraordinary elections. This is due to the fact that Mars will affect the sphere that is responsible for prosperity. It is this, the militant planet will lead to a split in the already formed political elite.
4. As a result of the elections, new, strong people will come to power, which will begin to bring the country from the recession period.
5. Regarding the Crimea Ross meets the firm - peninsula no longer return.

It is worth paying attention to the fact that Ross predicts not the most enviable fate of Russia. According to him, the federation is waiting for the decay and long period of instability.

Prediction of Donbass from Paul Globa

This rather famous prunerator has earned considerable popularity in Soviet power. This is due to the high level of exact forecasts for the future. Of course, he could not pass by and in relation to Ukraine. So, Pavel Globa made a forecast for the country back in 2009. Then he said that Ukraine waits for the collapse of three fully independent regions:

• Western region, which, over time, will cut off with all the surrounding countries.
• The Republic of Crimea, which will be integrated into the Russian Federation (which has already happened).
• The eastern part, which also enters the Russian Federation, but not immediately. This will be preceded by significant obstacles, both political and at the legal level.

It is worth noting: Paul's predictions Globes come true with an accuracy of 85%. This figure indicates a high degree of reliability of his words. But what will happen to the Donbass in 2020?

According to Globa, the 2020th year will not bring anything good and any positive changes. The conflict will continue at today's level. It will bring grief and suffering for people on both sides of the distinction. Peace negotiations are also not crowned with success, as they simply will not work in practice.

When will the world be in the Donbas? Psychic does not give unequivocal statements on this. He does not call the specific date of the end of the war. At the same time, in his opinion, the world is still possible. But this will happen with the change of the ruling regime. According to him, the new leader must convince the country's citizens in the futility of policies aimed at confrontation with Donetsk specifically and Russia in particular. Only then in the country there will be such a long-awaited world.

Donbass Predictions from Vangi

When will the world in Ukraine? With this question, you can also turn to such an authoritative Bulgarian prisoner as Wang, predictions, which, live to this day, even after her death.

Prophecies in relation to Ukraine, Vanga left not much, besides, having understood what she said should be understood that a clairvoyant used enough shaped and metamorphic ways to describe what "saw". That is why researchers have to decipher her words.

Vanga spoke of Ukraine in the context of the entire East European Region. Interpreters argue that she predicted to this region of large misfortunes: an endless struggle for power, impoverishment of peoples, armed conflicts. However, this is exactly what is happening now.

But, Bulgarian clairvoyant, not looking at all the blasting of the forecasts, was optimistic. And spoke about the change of power. The leader in this region will be a certain person whom she called "Sagittarius" he can combine previously broken peoples. With his arrival, the spiritual revival of the region will begin. Thus, on the question of what will be with the Donbass, Vanga predictions do not carry any specifics. At the same time, there is a hope of a new leader who will change the position of things.

Predictions about Donbass: Julia Wang

Julia Wang is a famous appearance of Latvia. For the most part of her prophecy concern ES, but she also made some loud prophecies about the conflict in the Donbas and the future:

1. According to Julia, Kiev will no longer be able to return either the Crimea nor Donetsk.
2. She also believes that Ukraine is waiting for serious shocks, which will lead to the complete collapse of the republic, and its parts will go under the protectorate to other states. Moreover, Wang believes that such developments will benefit. Since it was after this in the territory, the prosperity of the former country will begin.
3. At the same time, the ES will take their own, serious geopolitical changes, it is precisely in this leaders of Europe that will not be up to Ukrainian problems.

Predictions in the Donbass: Other Songs of Vera Lyon, Alexey Poyhabov, Olga

Vera Lyon is clairvoyant, which is quite often called the "Kazakh Wanga". It makes predictions on the basis of bright images. So, faith sees Ukraine in the form of a dry tree, bleeding unusual - red-resin. This vision clearly does not speak anything good. According to Faith Lyon, in 2020, it does not have to expect peaceful resolution of the conflict. Moreover, it predicts Ukraine a quick collapse into several parts, and relations with Russia, and they will only worsen.

Alexey Poyhabov - the winner of the "battle of psychics" after a long meditation made a new prediction about the Donbass. Clairvoyant argues that the 2020th year can bring a new war to Europe. Calls upon, now a very large number of people will have to start peaceful negotiations. And mainly, the new round of armed conflict will lead to the depreciation of the European Union. According to him, Ukrainian nationalist people can unleash the war on two fronts - against Donetsk and Europe.

Predictions for Donbass made a witch named by Olga. In her opinion, the power of Ukraine continue to deceive their people, and in fact the guilty of the war in the east is today's ruling elite. She is confident: In 2020, we are waiting for a new round of confrontation in Donetsk, but it will be sustainable, since a riot will occur in Kiev, as a result of which power will change. As a result, a strong leader will come, which will stop the bloodshed and lead Ukraine to prosperity.

conclusions

World in Ukraine, when will it be? Reply definitely on this question, even by analyzing all the predictions and prophecies quite difficult. One thing is clear: the end of the war will be only after the peace negotiations and the fulfillment of all the agreements reached.

The future of Ukraine depends solely from people who live here and only sanity can help the state survive and get out of the recession.

What is happening in the Donbas and in Lugansk does not fit into elementary logic and is not subject to reasonable explanation. In the country, despite a number of socio-economic problems, nothing foreshadowed the beginning of active hostilities. The trouble grew up in 2014, when a political coup and the authorities took off the radical nationalists, and Viktor Yanukovych had to leave his post to the legitimate president. Then the eastern part of Ukraine rebelled against the new regime, and the Crimea separated and joined Russia. But when will the war end? Predictions about Donbass for 2019 the year of psychics and predictors are the topic of our today's material.

Unlike the Crimea in the Donbas and in Lugansk, the events unfolded quite differently. Here, by decision of the government, the destruction of the dissenting population began. Armed conflict unfolded in full-scale fighting. For several years, a large number of Ukrainian citizens who are fighting against each other died. In Russia, and in the Donbas, sensible people advocate the cessation of shelling of peaceful people, resolving the conflict, for restoring cooperation between once friendly countries. Perhaps we will say predictors when the war ends, and what will happen next with the Donbas, Lugansk and Russia in 2019?

When the war ended in the Donbasus prediction for 2019 from psychics and astrolories. Opinion When the world comes: Vera Lyon, Pavel Globa, Witch Olga, Julia Wang and others.

Opinions of specialists of political scientists, psychics, astrologers, clairvoyant, dramatically divided. Some of them make a forecast that a long conflict will continue, which will be delayed for decades. Others predict that the Military confrontation will end soon, and everyone will live in peace and harmony. Consider various points of view on this issue.

What will happen to the Donbass in 2019?

Most optimistic predictors tend to think that the world in the Donbas will come in 2019. Such changes are primarily associated with the elections of the new president. And indeed, there are a number of objective reasons:

• The rating of the current government is very low and, unlikely, the current politicians will be able to recover again;
• The country is exhausted by military stripping and socio-economic difficulties;
• West also need a president who is able to resolve the conflict with Donetsk and Lugansk;
• Russia, also economically favorably stop the war, as it is necessary to provide comprehensive support to the population of unrecognized republics;
• Elections will be held at the wrong territory where new leaders will appear, protecting the interests of their citizens.

The result should be the return of Eastern lands to Ukraine, in the status of the autonomous region with special powers.

Opinion. It is possible that the return of non-controlled areas to Ukraine will be connected with the fact that Russia will refuse to finance these areas. Numerous sanctions reduce the standard of living of Russians, and is brewing the need to solve their own, not other people's problems.

Predictions of psychics

Vera Lyon.New Kazakhstan Vanga - Justice Military Actions on the territory of Donbass will continue, only with less intensity. By the end of the year, the two republics of the DPR and LPR will unite become a single state. The newly created state will not be recognized by anyone, but this does not prevent him from keeping defense and constantly interact with the Russian Federation.

Witch Olga.Witch Olga has no rainbow hopes on the situation in the Donbas. She predicts that after the elections of 2019, the situation will only worsen. The insecolate struggle will exist, the treasure will empty, the living standards of people will be catastrophically fall. In this situation, people need to rally to solve their problems themselves. Simple people will be able to change the fate of Ukraine and terminate hostilities and achieve peace on the territory of Donbass.

However, in the process of this it is necessary to avoid the section of the country into small parts. In 2019, Poland, Hungary and Romania will qualify for their areas. This will lead to the exacerbation of the conflict and new confrontations both within the country and with Europe.

Eventually. In fact, from Ukraine will remain only a small area around Kiev, which has no political weight in the world. In Donetsk, the long-awaited world will come and the war will go to the past.

Predictions when the war will end in the Donbas for 2019

Pavel Globa.This is probably one of the most popular astrologers and predictors in the post-Soviet space. It is listened to him, because its forecasts are very often come true. According to the military conflict in the Donbass will continue. And it will last for a long time until the preliminary change will occur. After that, an adequate politician should come, which will cease to host the hostilities in the Donbas. And only then peace and prosperity will be established.

Vasilisa Yaroslavskaya.But the clairvoyant Vasilisa Yaroslavskaya gives a more optimistic forecast: it predicts an ambulance to the change of power in Ukraine. The new government will resume relations with Russia, and will stop the war in the Donbass by the end of 2019. In the future, the republic will be part of Ukraine with the status of autonomy.

Julia Wang.Another predictor Julia Vang also predicts a quick improvement of the situation. Ukraine will receive a new president who can agree with the leadership of independent republics and will stop civil war in the Donbas at the end of 2019.

M. Gordeev.Esoteric and specialist in the cards of Tarot Gordeyev indicates that reforms in Ukraine will begin with the change of the power of the oligarch. The role of the people will change and the leadership of the country will have to be considered with his opinion. New politicians will be inclined to the fact that the war inside the country must end immediately.

O. Stolomka.But the Tarologist Solomka gives a forecast for a possible political coup and an extraordinary change of power in Ukraine. Maidan will be held again , again, people will be released on the barricades and will be the victims. Only after that citizens of a long-suffering country will choose other managers. The new government will indeed represent the interests of their people, but the Crimea will remain as part of the Russian Federation.

Zhukov. The famous numerologist, making calculation, predicts that the overthrow of the current Kiev authority is simply inevitable. In Ukraine, be sure to appear new leaders. However, the future remains the future of Donbass and Lugansk. A lot of factors affect the situation - to give an accurate forecast for the fate of the DPR and LNR in 2019 is not possible.

K. Parker. This is a popular psychland in England, says that in 2019 Ukraine will be involved in the political scandal of international format. She accuses to regularly trade with arms through deliveries to third countries. The participants of the scandal will be the United States, Korea and China. This incident will cause a negative reaction and sanctions from the United States and Europe.

Opinion. Machinations with weapons will not go unnoticed by the allies. And in 2019, Ukraine will have to independently solve the issue with the Civil War in the DPR and LNR.

Forecasts of astrologers

Mikhail Levin.The head of the Moscow Astrological Academy is confident that a military clash in the East will continue for many years. During this time, the people fully reincarnate due to the economic and political crisis. All who will be able to leave the country. Relationships with neighboring European countries are exacerbated: Poland, Hungary, Romania.

Sergey Shevtsov-Lang.This psychic predicts further political instability in the Donbas. The state will be in constant political parties, the heads of government will change. Relations with Russia and the West will move from friendship to hatred, and vice versa. The "Fiery Sign" of 2019 will cease the war, but the Crimea will be part of the Russian Federation.

Alena Zelibor.This astrologer gives a disappointing prediction in Donbass. The situation will be difficult for another decade, in some period there will be an agreement on temporary truce. Trade will be resumed and cooperation at the state level. However, the world will be short, the Republic of Donbass and Lugansk will make their choice and will not want to return to the Ukrainian state. In response, the Government will resume war and will cooperate with the West against the Russian Federation.

Vlad Ross.This astrologer is very famous, thanks to its exact predictions of the escape of the President of Yanukovych, the departure of Yatsenyuk's policy, and the appearance of dismisses with Europe. Forecasts the gradual flourishing of Ukraine, and even increase the average living standards to the European level. Russia will change with the arrival of a new leader. Significantly later than 2019, Ukraine from the Russian Federation will again become fraternal countries.

Ion Ignatenko.He long ago predicted military clashes in the Donbas, Ignatenko is no longer alive, but its forecasts argue that the war will end in 2019. Ion claimed the following: world wars will not be, the United States is waiting for default, which she will harden with difficulty. The change in the state administration of the Russian Federation will lead to a change in the policies of opposition to the policy of cooperation between the three countries - Russia, the United States and Ukraine. 2025 will be a turning point, the country will be a flourishing of economics and production, in the world community it will receive status and respect.

Published: 2018-10-25, changed: 2018-10-26,

What will happen to the Donbass on? Polytolologov's opinion Specialists of the Russian Council of International Affairs, which is headed by the Ex-Minister of Foreign Affairs Igor Ivanov, described three scenarios for the development of the situation in the Donbas: confrontation, freezing of the conflict and promotion of the peace process. How likely is each of them? Making forecasts causes life itself. It is clear that in the current suspended state of the unrecognized republic with a population of five million people will not be able to exist. It seems to be a truce, but the shelling of cities do not subscribe. Kiev continues to consider Donbass with its territory, but does not translate the money to the region and protects him barbed wire. Peter Poroshenko assures in commitment to Minsk agreements, but opposes the prescribed constitutional reform ... The first scenario is confrontation. According to experts of the Russian Council on International Affairs, it is not to eliminate the resumption of full-scale hostilities. With the support of the United States, Kiev may decide on a new offensive. Then the Donbass is not excluded, expects the fate of Serbian Krai, which Croatia returned to its composition in 1995. True, it is possible to repeat the events of August 2008 in South Ossetia. Russia was then forced to intervene on the events armed with an armed force, and then recognize the independence of this territory. The second scenario is a peaceful settlement of the conflict. According to analysts, the least probable course of events. It requires the abolition of anti-Russian sanctions and the consent of the West to the accession of the Crimea to Russia. The most likely the third scenario looks like a conflict freezing. In favor of such a development of events, the fact that Ukraine does not have sufficient resources for military victory, and Russia is not ready to recognize the independence of the People's Republics. World powers in this case will continue to exchange militant replicas, but it will be possible to avoid the mass death of people ... - The return of the Donbass to Ukraine is unlikely possible. Especially - given the attitude of the Kiev authorities to its residents. Kiev wants to "integrate" the Donbass with the help of artillery tools, - the Deputy Director of the Center of Ukrainian and Belarus, Deputy Director of Ukraine and Belarus Bogdan Bespales. - On the integration of the Donbass in Ukraine, it is possible to speak only in the case of its military defeat, which may follow as a result of the escalation of the conflict. In fact, the fate of Donbass depends not so much from himself, how many from major world players: USA, EU, Russia. They can have a significant impact on the Ukrainian elite and on its relationship with the Donbass. Options for developing a situation can be a lot. And among them most are unfavorable. Both for Donbass and Ukraine, Russia and even the West. Modeling the situation depends on the specific moment, from the relationship between Russia and the West. Scenarios can change every quarter. And even more often. "SP": - DPR and LNR are viable? - They are viable, but only if Russia continues to assist. As independent states of the republic are not much viable. However, they never claimed an independent geopolitical role. DPR and LNR is states that rely on the support of the Russian Federation. In the same way, as previously did South Ossetia and Abkhazia, for which the recognition of their sovereignty was a significant help. "SP": - Can the People's Republic can repeat the fate of Serbian Krai? - Everything rests on the position of Russia. If Moscow is to provide all kinds of assistance to the DPR and LPR, including the military, then this scenario is impossible. It should be borne in mind that Ukraine spends a lot of resources to break the resistance of the residents of Donbass. By the way, Serbian Kraire did not use the support of not only Serbia, but also the Republic of Serbian, which was the state of Serbs in Bosnia. Abandoned on the arbitrary of fate, Serbian Krayna became easy prey to the American Croatian Army well-trained by Americans. If the DPR and LNR will have the support of Russia, retain control over the border with our country, they will not repeat the fate of Serbian Craffa. Moreover, the republics of Donbass already has its own invoice over the Ukrainian army. The Ilovai and Debaltsev "Boilers" showed the effectiveness of the Army of DPR and LNR. "SP": - How are the hopes for the rapid collapse of the Ukrainian state justified? - Ukraine is immersed in the state of socio-economic collapse. This, by the way, sharply distinguishes it from Croatia - countries with a small population and received powerful financial support for the West. Ukraine has a population over 40 million people who rapidly agrees. Industry degradation is observed. Ukraine is a country that stands on the edge of the pit. The fighting simply does not have enough resources. Let me remind you that the Croatian operation "Storm" against Serbian Krai lasted only a few days, but carefully prepared. And no matter how expensive was worth such an operation, the result for Croatia was tangible. But in Ukraine more than a year there is a so-called "anti-terrorist operation", a lot of money is spent, a sixth wave of mobilization is being held. Donbass, which is nothing to lose, can be in winning soon. If there is a cooperation with Russia, it will return to the DNR port in Mariupol, it will be possible to restore the economy, to establish a social sphere. DPR and LNR will be more successful states than Ukraine. I want to note that all the troubles of the Ukrainian state are not from bad starting positions in the economy, culture, human resource. In 1991, Ukraine had tremendous resources, but they are increasingly spent, stolen over the years of independence. And it shows the true attitude towards the sovereignty of Ukraine of its leaders. From independence, ordinary people did not receive anything except impoverishment, depopulation and aggressive nationalism. - The current plan of a peaceful settlement in accordance with Minsk agreements is not focused, - the Vice-President of the Academy of Geopolitical Problems Konstantin Sokolov believes. - Agreements concern only individual DNR and LNR regions and actually regulate only relationships on the front line. Moreover, Kiev actively torpets Minsk agreements. The conflict resolution will occur only through armed confrontation. What will it be? The offensive of Kiev planned for May, but it was broken. The fact is that Ukraine is today the center of world politics and the USA, and Europe, and Russia. It became clear that the offensive will surfaches the political confrontation from the BRICS and SCO countries. Now in Ukraine an unstable balance. Large groups of foreign mercenaries are tightened to the country. But will Kiev decide on a large-scale attack? I think it will become clear at the end of summer. In my opinion, in the West, the thought ripes to write off all the crimes in Ukraine for the Poroshenko team. It can be replaced with other people. Some time will be an unstable balance. But soon the situation is resolved due to the social explosion within Ukraine. The country is almost bankrupt, and the war is all sharper. Recently, a group of high-ranking military moved to the parties to the People's Republics. So, the Kiev regime loses control even over the power structures. "SP": - But Ukraine continues to exist, despite the gloomy forecasts. - Ukraine until 2004, to the first "orange" revolution, against the background of other post-Soviet republics showed good development indicators. Now the standard of living falls to the line, which for many means the face of survival. If you used to endure, now it is simply impossible. Defalt in Ukraine can be used by the West for the change of managers. "SP": - What is the development of events you can expect? - Probustin scenario is that Ukraine will fall apart. And there are strengths interested in this in the West. In general, the strategy of the West is the dismemberment of states. We have seen this on the example of Yugoslavia, Libya, Syria. But I would not make analogies between the Donbas and Serbian Krailina or South Ossetia. Donbass - a much larger region, respectively, the interests around it are more significant. But do not forget that Russia cannot stay away from the conflict. I think the Western Strategy will defeat. Folk forces in Russia and Ukraine always rose when they reached extreme traits. Ukraine - the point with which the strategic situation in the world will begin to change. "To predict the situation, you need to look at this day," said Vladimir Rogov, Chairman of the Committee on Gosstroitelse. - Poroshenko made a legislative initiative not to decentralization, but the legal consolidation of the curious impossible. The president will be able to dismiss elected managers, which was not until today. On the other hand, we see the aggravation of the conflict within the ruling Ukrainian top. The Americans are preparing for the change of Poroshenko, the mayor of Lviv Garden and the former head of the SBU Nalyvajachenko. At the garden will be the Baltic "soft" option of nationalism. In Nalivaichenko, Ukraine will turn into Euro-Igil. Vasily Gritsak appointed the new head of the SBU. This is a man, a dedicated Poroshenko, but completely incompetent. What is his fault in defeating in the Ilovai "Boiler"! Poroshenko tries to put on high positions of people, he devotees. And those who have nowhere to run. Nevertheless, the "main rat" of the Ukrainian policy Yuri Lutsenko wrote a statement on resignation from the post of Chairman of the Fractions of Petro Poroshenko's faction in the Verkhovna Rada. We remember how Lutsenko changed the party affiliation more than once. And every time he left one or another party on the eve of the loss of its influence in society. "SP": - Can Donbass wait for the collapse of the statehood of Ukraine? - We must wait for the collapse of the group ruling in Kiev. And no doubt that the People's Republic will be formed in Kharkov, Odessa, Zaporizhia, Lviv will be formed. Donbass should simply gain strength, restore the economy and push the front line to the distance so that the Ukrainian army could not fire major cities. Soon people in Kiev and Lviv will be able to free their land from the current government. "SP": - What is the impact on the development of events in the Donbas world powers? - Direct communication between the main players of world politics is already launched: Russia and the United States. But the main thing is that the model in the LDP and DPR is more attractive than in Ukraine. In the people's republics at times lower rates of housing and communal services. People in Ukraine will gradually understand that in the Donbas a more just state than them.

In Donetsk, as a result of the terrorist attack, the head of the DNR Alexander Zakharchenko was killed. It was far from the first attempt on the battle. Back in August 2014, his car was fired. In April 2016, a sabotage group was neutralized, who was preparing an attempt on the head of the republic in one of the rifle complexes of Donetsk. In November 2017, the attempted saboteurs were prepared for him, possibly involved in the murder of the head of the Department of People's Militia of LNR Oleg Anashchenko

In 2015, in Uglegorsk Zakharchenko was lucky: the bullet was intended to him in the guard. Responsibility for the action took over the "Shadow" detachment, which then took responsibility for the death of brain, Motorols and Givi. In just two weeks, the sniper was missing again in Debaltsevo, only wounding Zakharchenko in his leg.

The head of the DNR criticized a lot. But one from Zakharchenko does not take away - he has never been a coward. Instead of a costume, put the head of the state, was camouflage. He felt first of all the fighter - the Republic was forced to lead the war, and he was commander-in-chief.

Zakharchenko repeatedly participated in combat operations, already being the head of the state, was repeatedly injured, had combat awards. It was not just a style. He really was as we remembered him. How he went out to calm the inhabitants of Donetsk, demanding to do at least something to stop the shelling. As he shouted on the Ukrainian general, that this is his land, and he will not retreat from it. How he was wounded by took the parade. Standing. On one leg.

He was really brave, in something even reckless. Zakharchenko was very challenged to his own security, neglected the guard, personally he took the guests in his car, taking off from the taper. He said, what is destined to be, it will still happen.

So it happened. It is clear that this is a war ... But everything could be different if there were more attention to the protection of chapters.

How could this happen? Kill the head of state. In the center of the capital. In the middle of the day. Of course, the murders of Motorola and Givi caused bewilderment. But chapter. This is probably somehow too ...

Most likely, Krot was surrounded by Zakharchenko. Otherwise, I could not. Not knowing about his plans, about his movement, it would simply be impossible to be planned and implement.

Many with irony refer to the possibilities of the Ukrainian army. But it is necessary to understand that Kiev has special services, special detachments, prepared precisely for such shares. Whatever pitiful army of Ukraine looks like, special forces are special forces. In addition, there is information that the Ukrainian CSOs are preparing the Americans, and those know a lot about such affairs. Obviously, the attempt was preparing for no one day. They say, like someone even caught, but it is most likely only ordinary links in the whole chain. Will it be possible to install all performers? Unlikely.

The question with customers doubt does not cause. Always need to watch someone profitable? The answer is obvious - Kiev. I will even say more - personally Poroshenko. For what?

The task is the maximum, most likely to force the DNR fighters to be mental and go on a direct violation of Minsk agreements. Kiev would have long wanted to go to the offensive, but Minsk agreements prevent this to do. If Kiev begins the war first, he will no longer succeed and further expose himself "victim of aggression." Ideally, if the militias were the first to violate the agreements, after which Ukraine could with a "clean conscience" to act. What would inevitably lead to the reaction of Moscow. And this is exactly what you need and Kiev, and the USA - at any cost to draw Russia into war.

War needs Ukraine constantly. But it is today that it is especially sharply needed Poroshenko. That, let's remind, on the nose election, and judging by all polls, to win them with His chance of zero. Washington is obviously disappointed in it and will not support. In the case of war, Poroshenko can enter a martial law and simply cancel the election. And the Americans say: Sorry, we have war, you can't just take and change me, then we still fall out ...

There are, however, the task is minimum. Show voters that Poroshenko is cool. Isn't it cool - eliminate the Commander-in-Chief of the enemy in his own "Lair"? Ask, what about Poroshenko? Well, who else? Ukrainian saboteurs under his leadership.

Of course, Kiev is never recognized in this crime. Never special services are not recognized even in successful promotions, not to mention unsuccessful. After all, not a single state of the world (except, perhaps Israel) does not speak aloud that he is eliminated by its enemies. But this is the routine work of the special services. Moreover, if official Kiev recognizes the existence of a "partisan" detachment "Shadows", he must somehow respond to the fact that some "partisans" in Ukraine (they consider Donbass) killing Ukrainian citizens (and Zakharchenko was a citizen of Ukraine) . What for? It is easier to write off on some inner disassembly. Or even to the work of Russian special services.

But everyone understands everything without it.

Yes, the effect, colossal. It was not just a person who took some decisions from which something depended. Killed symbol of the rebel Donbass.

Zakharchenko can be treated differently. It is often criticized for the unfulfilled promises for the liberation of territories, even for the fact that he was simply not able to move away the borders from the borders of the hometown to stop the shelling of a million megalopolis. Well, and, of course, for participating in the Minsk agreements, which many in the Donbass consider betrayal.

But it was when Zakharchenko DNR took place as a state, although unrecognized.

Zakharchenko came to power in a very difficult time, when the republics were actually dissected by the Ukrainian troops, which rushed to the Russian border to finally close the surroundings of Donetsk and Lugansk. With Zakharchenko, it was possible not only to stop the avalanche-like onset of the Ukrainian side, but also to create a "boiler" for them, and go to the counteroffensive, coming out for the approaches to Mariupol. And before that, I remind, it was the divisions of Zakharchenko and Khodakovsky that Donetsk was kept when the main forces of the militia were connected in Slavyansk and Kramatorsk.

But the main thing is not even in military victories. And in the fact that the statehood of the republic began to form at Zakharchenko. Let me remind you by the summer of 2014, almost all the old authorities in the Donbas stopped functioning, banks did not work, stores were closed, enterprises stopped. Mrajdity, "tensions", abduction and murder flourished everywhere. It was when Zakharchenko managed to stop all this, to create a new state management structure from zero, to build a vertical of power, turn the partisan militia detachments to a full-fledged army, to build a new financial system. With it, they began to fight unemployment, opened closed enterprises, established the supply of all the necessary goods. Under it, the republic became a state, and not by some Makhnovsky enclave.

Zakharenko was a symbol of Donbas statehood, and he could not really cause hatred and irritation. Not the first time, but it was removed. And perhaps, in full think that the statehood will come on this Donetsk statehood. But those who believe that simply do not understand what it is built on how it works.

In connection with the death of Zakharchenko, there is a logical question about the new chapter. The key question is whether it will be, is there a person who can adequately continue the started Zakharchenko? I am sure that there is. I know myself that there are many such people in the Donbas.

Now about Minsk agreements - what will happen to them. Today, only lazy does not mean that Ukraine has moved the red feature and completely buried them. But she buried them even earlier, accepted by the so-called. "The law on the dembugation of the Donbass", in which there is no word about the agreements. More than wow - there are direct tex that the Donbass "occupied" by Russia, and local authorities are "occupying administrations". And with the "occupiers" and their "puppets" are not negotiating. But after all, in Minsk agreements, it is clearly stated that all decisions should be made in coordination with representatives of "individual regions". That is, Ukraine at the beginning of the year legally banned himself to fulfill Minsk.

On the other hand, pay attention to the suddenly tightened rhetoric of Moscow. According to the Chairman of the State Duma, the murder of Zakharchenko resets the meaning of the Minsk arrangements.

"Instead of the implementation of the Minsk agreements and finding ways to resolve the internal conflict, the Kiev War Party implements a terrorist scenario, exacerbating the already complex situation in the region," this is Maria Zakharov.

"Pearing killing Alexander Zakharchenko is another testimony: those who chose the path of terror, violence, intimidation, do not want to look for a peaceful, political decision of the conflict, do not want to conduct a real dialogue with the inhabitants of the southeast. And make a dangerous bid to destabilize the situation, to put the people of Donbass on his knees. They will not succeed. I expect that the organizers and performers of this crime will incur deserved punishment, "Putin.

Dmitry Peskov's statement sounds even more tough: "The murder of Alexander Zakharchenko will entail the inevitable consequences."

"The murder of the head of the self-proclaimed Donetsk People's Republic of Alexander Zakharchenko eliminated the possibility of holding the" Normand Four "leaders in the near future," said Sergey Lavrov.

What meeting can we talk about? What are the negotiations? What agreements?

Back to the question of the election of the new chapter. I repeat, they do not matter from a practical point of view, but are of great importance - with symbolic. Before that, we all went on the reason for Kiev, tried not to annoy the West. How much can already?! Today these elections need to be held. . In order for in Kiev, I realized that it could follow and something more serious. For example, recognition of republics. If you do not understand - then albeit only on behalf of yourself.

It really was a red feature, not to respond to which it is simply impossible.

The war in the Donbas and the main negotiation format in Minsk long served in a dead end. Many are trying to resolve this situation, but Ukraine has a number of pro-Russian politicians and initiatives that try to completely change the alignment of forces.

It is clear to everyone that the main problem of the Minsk arrangements is the declarativeness of intentions and the actual non-fulfillment of the promised. For example, the parties have pledged all the heavy weapons from the distinction line, but with each collision, say, the last January events in Avdeevka are also applied tanks, and the installation of salvo flames.

And, although European politicians claimed more than once that there are no alternatives to Minsk, the latest events show that at least several options for the future Donbass appeared. At least several people came to the political scene who promote new formats for the settlement of the Donbass conflict.

One of these devotees was not known to the general public, Andrei Artyomenko from the "Radical Party" Oleg Lyashko. In Ukraine, a serious scandal in February of this year broke out. As it turned out, Artenenko told the newspaper The New York Times that he handed out at that time the adviser to President Donald Trump Michael Flynnu plan to resolve the situation in Ukraine.

Another applicant for the new format of relations between unrecognized republics of LDNR was the former prisoner of the Russian prison, and now the Ukrainian People's Deputy Nadezhda Savchenko. She recently offers different ways to communicate with separatist leaders, participates in the processes in the jurisdiction of Minsk, for example, for the exchange of prisoners.

Finally, the third way to destroy Minsk was spoke at the beginning of March. Then they received the first news about the so-called "nationalization" of enterprises under Ukrainian jurisdiction. This is mainly related to metallurgical plants and coal mines. In addition, for the first time since the beginning of the conflict, the separatist authorities penetrated the Donbass-Arena, a large football complex owned by the Ukrainian billionaire Rinat Akhmetov. It is in his property that there is a majority of assets that the self-proclaimed authorities want to pick up under the wording "transfer under external management", and therefore, the process of reintegration of the Donbass can be forgotten for many years. Accordingly, Minsk agreements lose all meaning.

Big plan

On February 19, 2016, Artenenko, experts and Facebook users spoke about the little-known People's Deputy. Then the US publication published an article in which Artemenko argued that he wrote a plan to resolve the conflict in the Donbas and the removal of the issue of Crimea. According to American journalists, this initiative was transferred to Flynn shortly before his resignation. As you know, the latter was accused of illegal negotiations with Russian diplomats for the withdrawal of sanctions.

Later, Artyomenko has already changed the version, saying that he communicated with Michael Coen, personal lawyer Trump and Felix Sater, an American businessman of Russian origin, a former adviser to Trump. The Ukrainian deputy was immediately excluded from the faction of the Radical Party, and Lyashko was criticized. Nevertheless, the plan of Artemenko began to move in different Ukrainian media, for the most part with a pro-Russian accent.

The main idea of \u200b\u200bthe initiative - the situation must be allowed by compromising. For example, the All-Ukrainian referendum is held in the Crimea, which the intention is made to give the peninsula to Russia for 30-50 years. After this period, the Crimea also holds a referendum, on which the final question of the belonging of the peninsula is solved.

The return of the Donbass to Ukraine, according to Artenenko, should be as follows: Amnesty is accepted by everyone, except for those who have committed particularly serious crimes. The border is transmitted to Ukraine, but 72 hours are given a free corridor at the exit to those who do not want to live in the country. Then the All-Ukrainian referendum on providing the Donbass of Special Status is carried out. Created a fund for the revival of Donbass. From the Russian Federation to the fund goes payments that she pays for the rent of Crimea. After the implementation of this plan, the sanctions from the Kremlin are removed, and relationships with the countries of the West are restored.

In fact, the plan of Artemenko is the legalization of the Crimea under the Russian jurisdiction through the return of the Ukrainian side of the Donbass. Moreover, all major parameters become a complete substitution of the most Minsk agreements. Let's say about control over the border. But no words in the plan says about the Russian military, Russian technique and other support provided by Russia to Donbas Separatists. The target audience for the text of Artenenko, of course, Western politicians who see the inefficiency of Minsk and are inclined to the idea of \u200b\u200ba compromise. Concession for assignment. You can not doubt that such a compromise plan will not slip back in the media or from the mouth of European and American politicians.

His among others

At the same time, Savchenko acts on this field of peaceful resolution of the conflict. At the end of February, she together with the famous negotiator Vladimir Ruban visited the DPR. Her trip became resonant on two sides of the front. So, one of its declared goals was to visit Ukrainian prisoners of war on the uncomplicated Ukraine part. In addition, she several times published lists of such prisoners, which caused a negative reaction from the SBU.

Context

Donbass comes closer to Russia

AGORAVOX 03/23/2017

Moscow does not need Donbass

E15.cz 03/15/2017

Who uses the blockade of Donbass?

Apostrof 09.03.2017

Not only Donbass will become part of Russia

Lidovky 07/07/2017 It should be noted that it is precisely the format of Minsk relations provides for all the work on the exchange of prisoners of war, detection and search, and Savchenko is not enough that replaces one of the main functions of the Minsk agreements, but also tries to build a new type of relationship: unrecognized republics and Ukraine . Its direct negotiations with the heads of LDNR Alexander Zakharchenko and Igor Plotnitsky, trips to the occupied part of Ukraine, suspicion of cities with Viktor Medvedchuk, Kum Russian President Vladimir Putin, says that its role is to create new bridges between the warring parties.

In a conversation with the author of this article, Savchenko said that he was ready to communicate with any person from the "republics" because he would try to convince him. The nuance of the Savchenko Mission is that the rhetoric against the Ukrainian authorities and President Petro Poroshenko sharply aggravated. Let's say she called him the "enemy of the people." In fact, the former prisoner of the Russian prison now plays the role of the third force on the Ukrainian political field. Like, if the power does nothing, it means that Savchenko will become a substitute for all in the insensitive protocols of Minsk. Or, when the situation enters a complete deadlock, it can position itself as a person, over the shoulders of which the experience of communicating with separatists, developments for the liberation of prisoners, the introduction of the presumption of innocence in relation to the leaders of LDNR.

Savchenko, rapidly losing popularity among Ukrainians, persistently continues to conduct activities parallel to Minsk.

Economic strike

The third version of the development of events in recent days was quite real. The "nationalization" of Ukrainian enterprises separatist to the authorities means a complete rejection of Minsk relations, because the essence of the latter is the return of these territories to Ukraine, and the violent change in the ownership of Ukrainian factories and mines actually puts the cross on the reintegration of areas not controlled by Kiev. The formal reason for the conversation about the "nationalization" was the so-called blockade - the actions of Ukrainian politicians, blocking trade between Kiev and unrecognized republics. Although in fact, to change the residence permit of Ukrainian enterprises in Donetsk and Lugansk, they speak for a couple of years. Yes, and the answer itself in the form of "nationalization" is asymmetrically serious.

If the blockade is quite temporary measures, then the "external management" of enterprises is done on a very long time. In LDNR there are about 30 industrial facilities. Basically - metallurgy and mines that can represent a lacking piece for transferring property. For example, enterprises Akhmetov "Rovenkitracite" and "Sverdlutracit", the company of the Mining and Metallurgical Group Metinvest: Enekeevsky Metallurgical Plant, the Harcisian Pipe Plant, the Krasnodonugol Association, which mining coking coal, and so on. According to the adviser to the head of the SBU Yuri Tandit, such enterprises have paid 1.1 billion dollars in the Ukrainian budget over the past year. For comparison, the annual budget of Kiev is 1.4 billion dollars.

Now in LDNR, some metallurgical factories and mines are stopped, partly due to the blockade and lack of natural fossils supplied from the territory subordinate to Kiev, partly in connection with the transition process on the "nationalization". Of course, for the Ukrainian economy, such developments will not have a positive effect. Metallurgists on uncontrolled territory are working on Ukrainian legislation, which includes the mandatory sale of currency in the foreign exchange market.

Producing products there, they sell currency in Ukraine than the stabilization of the hryvnia. By the way, the two largest metallurgical plants, the Alchevsky Metal Combine and the Enakievsky Metzavod, accounted for 15% of the total production of steel in the country. It is not yet clear how "nationalization" will be held and which enterprises will fall into this list who will own these companies, but the SBU published an audio recording of Zakharchenko's conversation with the Russian curator, which suggests that the former Ukrainian Oligarch Sergei Kurchenko claims significant part of metallurgical plants. And on the site of the LDP, the order was published on the introduction of the "External Administration" in Ukrainian enterprises.

The role of a new owner is indicated by anyone not known to CJSC "Vneshnergservis", registered in Lugansk. Be that as it may, it is clear that the Minsk agreements such a move causes a crushing blow. News about the change of property promotion coincided with the recent recognition of the official Kremlin of the so-called LDR passports and may be the link of one logical chain. In the future, an option is possible when official Moscow recognizes the DPR and LPR by independent republics. By and large, this version of the development of events means an irreversible transition to Transnistrian with several reservations. The first - there will be no enterprises with Ukrainian registration, in contrast to the situation with Moldova and Transnistria.

The second is to work normally metallurgy, it is necessary to introduce new schemes for the supply of natural fossils. The only accessible closest port is in Mariupol, which means it is necessary to create complex logistics routes that can significantly express the products. Finally, the latter - without legal registration in other countries, no metallurgical and coal enterprise working for export will not be able to exist. And therefore, again - a sophisticated scheme of owners and a legal address.

In any case, this year, most likely, a tectonic shift will occur in the policies of Ukraine and Russia, the EU and the United States in relation to unrecognized republics. If, in the future, Minsk will remain small, the adoption of one of the above options (or combinations of factors) tired of the Donbas problems with the West who fell into a dead end of the Kremlin and Kiev, who no less want to move away from the dead point is very likely. Only many decades will be heard from this decision.

Insurance materials contain estimates of exclusively foreign media and do not reflect the position of the EOSMI's editorial office.